FacebookTwitter

HAI

Unless otherwise indicated, the material below has not been prepared by Van Eck Associates Corporation or HardAssetsInvestor.com.
Neither assumes any liability for any content on a third party website or material prepared by a third party.

Features and Interviews

   |
Poor Nothing special Worth watching Pretty cool Awesome!
Rate this article
Philip Silverman: No Immediate Inflation
Written by HardAssetsInvestor   
March 17, 2010 12:00 am EDT


Mike Norman, anchor, HardAssetsInvestor.com (Norman): Hello everybody, and welcome to HardAssetsInvestor.com. I’m Mike Norman, your host. Today my guest is Philip Silverman. He’s the managing partner of Kingsview Management; very familiar to the hard assets space commodities. Philip, thanks very much for joining us on the show. I appreciate it.

Philip Silverman, managing partner, Kingsview Management (Silverman): Thank you for having me.

Norman: Let’s take a broader outlook right now. What is your outlook? The year's off to somewhat of a flat start, I guess. What is the outlook that you have for 2010?

Silverman: Well, our outlook is for subtrend growth. You know, we’ve had a bounce off the bottom in economic growth, as well as the markets. But we don’t think that that has very much legs. Not in any way calling for a collapse, but not growth rates that we would have been accustomed to in the last couple of decades.

Norman: No, we had a growth rate in the last reading … or for all of 2009, actually, it was almost a 6 percent, a 5.7 percent growth rate. That’s incredibly strong. What you're saying is that won't be sustained?

Silverman: We do not believe that will be sustained. You know, there was a lot of bounce-back from the crisis, a lot of inventory rebuilding. But to think that coming out of this crisis we’ll be able to sustain even a normal trend growth is a very optimistic outlook and one that I don’t think we can necessarily bet our money on.

Norman: Now, a 2 percent growth rate; how does that work out for equities, for commodities? How do you see that? Is it supportive? Is it indicative of more sideways price action?

Silverman: I think certainly a general sideways price action is something we’re expecting. In stocks, it’s going to be a stock-picker’s market. Those companies that are able to thrive, have good products, manage their balance sheets very well and compete effectively in the marketplace are going to do well; value stocks will be able to do well.

But as a whole, I wouldn’t bet on very large advances any time in the near future. You know, we’ve made a large bounce off the bottom. A lot of money was reallocated into equities. And it’s going to be a tough time to see the market go up significantly. Like I said, I’m not looking for the bottom to fall out here, but we think you're going to see a lot of sideways action.



 

More on this topic (What's this?) Read more on Norman, Inflation at Wikinvest
 
Subscribe to Our Weekly Newsletter 
First Comment

Comments (0)



Post a Comment

Comment
(Limit 2,000
characters) 
*
Name: *
E-mail: *
Home page:

(optional)

Type in the displayed characters
Email follow-up comments to my e-mail address
 


Terms of Use
The HardAssetsInvestor.com message board and comment features are designed to facilitate thoughtful discussion of the biggest issues impacting commodity investors. All comments should be respectful. Insults and profanity are not permitted. The editor reserves the right to remove comments at his/her discretion.

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

 

Commodities Data

September 09, 2010 06:20 AM EST

  Loading data ...
 

Weekly Commodities Poll

Do you think futures-based ETFs have a significant effect on commodities prices?

 

Related Articles »

Did you like this article? Then you may be interested in:

 

Seminal Papers »